PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 1–2 Manchester City · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–2.

Shots
322
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.971.62
Possession
22%78%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Wolverhampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Manchester City): shots 3–22, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.97–1.62, possession 22%–78%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Manchester City19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonManchester CityBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match19.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match7.38 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionWolverhampton · Manchester City● 65.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonManchester CityBaseline
Possession44.3%65.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots22 shotsWolverhampton 3 shots, Manchester City 22 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsWolverhampton 2 shots, Manchester City 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.62 xGWolverhampton 0.97 xG, Manchester City 1.62 xG
  • Possession22%78%Wolverhampton 22%, Manchester City 78%
  • Corners1 corner18 cornersWolverhampton 1 corner, Manchester City 18 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls5 foulsWolverhampton 8 fouls, Manchester City 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.02 xG · goalRúben Dias · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Grealish · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Nunes · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 63′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 9′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 19′ · 0.21 xG · on targetJohn Stones · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 7′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.81 xG. Manchester City: 22 shots, 7 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 7′Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 33′John Stones · Manchester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.81 xG · Manchester City 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
0Draws
4Manchester City
Manchester City — Wolverhampton · Premier League5–1
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League2–1
Manchester City — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League0–3
Wolverhampton — Manchester City · Premier League1–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton8 matchesManchester City8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
2.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.95 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 19.6 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 7 shots/match
44.3%Possession8/8● 65.5%
3.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 9.5 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/86.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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