Premier League · 2024

Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Chelsea

DWWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 2–1.

Shots
912
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.940.99
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Chelsea 2–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Chelsea): shots 9–12, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.94–0.99, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Chelsea13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolChelseaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsLiverpool 9 shots, Chelsea 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLiverpool 5 shots, Chelsea 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG0.99 xGLiverpool 1.94 xG, Chelsea 0.99 xG
  • Possession43%57%Liverpool 43%, Chelsea 57%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersLiverpool 1 corner, Chelsea 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsLiverpool 12 fouls, Chelsea 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Virgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Neto · Chelsea · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRenato Veiga · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 37′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.30 xG · goalCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.71 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.98 xG. Chelsea: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′Curtis Jones · Liverpool · 51′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.98 xG · Chelsea 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
4Draws
0Chelsea
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League4–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League0–0
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool8 matchesChelsea8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.13 goals/match
0.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.96 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.5 shots/match
6.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/85.38 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession8/856.1%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners8/85.63 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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