PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Bournemouth 2–0 Arsenal · Premier League

2–0Historical match

Arsenal

DWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 2–0.

Shots
136
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.820.68
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Arsenal 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Arsenal): shots 13–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.82–0.68, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal have a visible away split

weak

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.75 shots/match15 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.88 corners/match ●CornersBournemouth · Arsenal6.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthArsenalBaseline
Corners6.88 corners/match6.75 corners/match5.44 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsBournemouth 13 shots, Arsenal 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBournemouth 4 shots, Arsenal 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.68 xGBournemouth 1.82 xG, Arsenal 0.68 xG
  • Possession49%51%Bournemouth 49%, Arsenal 51%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersBournemouth 7 corners, Arsenal 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsBournemouth 12 fouls, Arsenal 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Partey · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 70′ · 0.12 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 69′ · 0.38 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 47′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 79′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.88 xG. Arsenal: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ryan Christie · Bournemouth · 70′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.88 xG · Arsenal 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bournemouth
0Draws
4Arsenal
Arsenal — Bournemouth · Premier League3–0
Bournemouth — Arsenal · Premier League0–4
Arsenal — Bournemouth · Premier League3–2
Bournemouth — Arsenal · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth8 matchesArsenal8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.72 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/815 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.88 shots/match
44.8%Possession8/8● 49.3%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners8/86.75 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBournemouth — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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