PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–2 Wolverhampton · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton drew 2–2.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.311.36
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Wolverhampton): shots 19–14, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.31–1.36, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Wolverhampton10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

56% ●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Wolverhampton44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionWolverhamptonBaseline
Possession56%44.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 19 shots, Wolverhampton 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 6 shots, Wolverhampton 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG1.36 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.31 xG, Wolverhampton 1.36 xG
  • Possession51%49%Brighton & Hove Albion 51%, Wolverhampton 49%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 9 corners, Wolverhampton 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 12 fouls, Wolverhampton 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 88′ · 0.06 xG · goalGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′ · 0.08 xG · goalKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 88′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 75′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSantiago Bueno · Wolverhampton · 71′ · 0.20 xG · on targetTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 9′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG. Wolverhampton: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′Evan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 85′Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 88′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.29 xG · Wolverhampton 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
0Wolverhampton
Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–0
Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4
Brighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton · Premier League6–0
Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–3
Wolverhampton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion9 matchesWolverhampton9 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.78 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.99 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.7 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.11 shots/match
56% ●Possession9/944.8%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners9/93.44 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/913.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionWolverhampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Wolverhampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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