PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 1–0 Southampton · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–0.

Shots
225
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.950.21
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Southampton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Southampton): shots 22–5, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.95–0.21, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.67 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Southampton10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CitySouthamptonBaseline
Shots19.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against7.11 shots/match18 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.6% ●PossessionManchester City · Southampton54.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CitySouthamptonBaseline
Possession64.6%54.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots5 shotsManchester City 22 shots, Southampton 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsManchester City 8 shots, Southampton 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.95 xG0.21 xGManchester City 2.95 xG, Southampton 0.21 xG
  • Possession57%43%Manchester City 57%, Southampton 43%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerManchester City 12 corners, Southampton 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsManchester City 9 fouls, Southampton 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Savinho · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRúben Dias · Manchester City · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Nunes · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatheus Nunes · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 9′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 50′ · 0.16 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.39 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.50 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 63′ · 0.69 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 22 shots, 8 on target, 2.98 xG. Southampton: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.98 xG · Southampton 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
2Draws
0Southampton
Southampton — Manchester City · Premier League1–4
Manchester City — Southampton · Premier League4–0
Southampton — Manchester City · Premier League1–1
Manchester City — Southampton · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City9 matchesSouthampton9 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
2.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.19 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.6 shots/match
7.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.56 shots/match
64.6% ●Possession9/954.4%
9.78 corners/match ●Corners9/94.67 corners/match
6.67 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CitySouthampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester City — Southampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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