Premier League · 2024Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

DLDWL

2–1Full-time recap

Manchester United

WDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Manchester United
Shots	12 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	3 xG/match▲	2.34 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 3 on target, 3.03 xG. Manchester United: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 3.03 xG · Manchester United 2.41 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.89 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2West Ham United

0Draws

3Manchester United

4 Feb 2024Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League3–0

23 Dec 2023West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League2–0

7 May 2023West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–0

30 Oct 2022Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

22 Jan 2022Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 6 · 5 too close

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.22 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/91.64 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.71 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/914.4 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲11.7 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲5.56 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲3.78 shots/match

45.1%Possessionseason · 9/9●52.8%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●6.22 corners/match

6.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲3.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲44%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United27.5

Manchester United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United57.5

Manchester United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United32.5

Manchester United68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United87.5

Manchester United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United92.5

Manchester United20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United22.5

Manchester United82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United58.1

Manchester United61.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United9 matchesManchester United9 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.22 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.64 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots9/914.4 shots/match

4.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.56 shots/match

45.1%Possession9/9●52.8%

4.56 corners/matchCorners9/9●6.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United5 matchesManchester United5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

2.17 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.74 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match

46.6%Possession5/5●55.6%

5 corners/matchCorners5/5●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4