Premier League · 2024Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

DDLLL

1–0Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.78 xG/match▲	0.74 xG/match
Possession	34%	66%●
Corners	8 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.78 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 0.78 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.67 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%PossessionCrystal Palace · Tottenham Hotspur●62.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	47.2%	62.4%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Tottenham Hotspur17.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	17.3 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	13.2 shots/match	9.56 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Crystal Palace

0Draws

5Tottenham Hotspur

2 Mar 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–1

27 Oct 2023Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–2

6 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0

4 Jan 2023Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4

26 Dec 2021Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 10 · 3 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2 goals/match

1.22 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.97 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.08 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲17.3 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲9.56 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲6.44 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲3.67 shots/match

47.2%Possessionseason · 9/9●62.4%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●9.33 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲5.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%

56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace37.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace35

Tottenham Hotspur90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace53.3

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace77.5

Tottenham Hotspur57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace30

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace45

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace43.8

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace9 matchesTottenham Hotspur9 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2 goals/match

1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.97 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots9/9▲17.3 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲6.44 shots/match

47.2%Possession9/9●62.4%

5.33 corners/matchCorners9/9●9.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/911.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace5 matchesTottenham Hotspur5 matches

0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.82 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

44.8%Possession5/5●64.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/5●8.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4