PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Crystal Palace 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 1–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.780.74
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Tottenham Hotspur 1–0. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.78–0.74, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%PossessionCrystal Palace · Tottenham Hotspur● 62.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession47.2%62.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Tottenham Hotspur17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots14 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.56 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsCrystal Palace 14 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsCrystal Palace 6 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.74 xGCrystal Palace 0.78 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 0.74 xG
  • Possession34%66%Crystal Palace 34%, Tottenham Hotspur 66%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersCrystal Palace 8 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 8 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCrystal Palace 16 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Will Hughes · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 31′ · 0.11 xG · goalMicky van de Ven · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 58′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarc Guéhi · Crystal Palace · 35′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.78 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 0.78 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Crystal Palace
0Draws
5Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–1
Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0
Crystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–4
Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace9 matchesTottenham Hotspur9 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.97 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 17.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 6.44 shots/match
47.2%Possession9/9● 62.4%
5.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 9.33 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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