PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Nottingham Forest 3–0 West Ham United · Premier League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nottingham Forest won 3–0.

Shots
194
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.170.13
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nottingham Forest beat West Ham United 3–0. Recorded in this match (Nottingham Forest – West Ham United): shots 19–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.17–0.13, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNottingham Forest · West Ham United13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNottingham ForestWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsNottingham Forest 19 shots, West Ham United 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsNottingham Forest 6 shots, West Ham United 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG0.13 xGNottingham Forest 2.17 xG, West Ham United 0.13 xG
  • Possession53%47%Nottingham Forest 53%, West Ham United 47%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersNottingham Forest 10 corners, West Ham United 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsNottingham Forest 7 fouls, West Ham United 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolás Domínguez · Nottingham Forest · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 65′ · 0.01 xG · goalChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMurillo · Nottingham Forest · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Moreno · Nottingham Forest · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamón Sosa · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMurillo · Nottingham Forest · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNikola Milenković · Nottingham Forest · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOla Aina · Nottingham Forest · 78′ · 0.08 xG · goalCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 36′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTaiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 3′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Domínguez · Nottingham Forest · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNikola Milenković · Nottingham Forest · 87′ · 0.34 xG · on targetChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 27′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.10 xG. West Ham United: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Chris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 27′Callum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 65′Ola Aina · Nottingham Forest · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 2.10 xG · West Ham United 0.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nottingham Forest
0Draws
2West Ham United
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League2–0
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · West Ham United in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest10 matchesWest Ham United10 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.49 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.7 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match
41.5%Possession10/10● 45.3%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners10/104.7 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNottingham ForestWest Ham United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headNottingham Forest — West Ham United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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