Premier League · 2024Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Nottingham Forest

DLDWW

3–0Historical match

West Ham United

LDWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nottingham Forest	West Ham United
Shots	19 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.17 xG/match▲	0.13 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	10 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.10 xG. West Ham United: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 2.10 xG · West Ham United 0.12 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.3 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsNottingham Forest · West Ham United13.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Nottingham Forest	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	12.8 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Nottingham Forest

0Draws

2West Ham United

17 Feb 2024Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League2–0

12 Nov 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2

25 Feb 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0

14 Aug 2022Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nottingham Forest favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 1 · 3 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101.3 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.9 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/10▲1.49 xG/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.76 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1013.7 shots/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1016.1 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/104.3 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/104.6 shots/match

41.5%Possessionseason · 10/10●45.3%

5.4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 10/104.7 corners/match

6.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/106.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1013.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nottingham Forest12.5

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nottingham Forest65.8

West Ham United35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nottingham Forest80.8

West Ham United29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nottingham Forest97.5

West Ham United77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest20

West Ham United92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest45

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nottingham Forest52.5

West Ham United48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest10 matchesWest Ham United10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.49 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.7 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match

41.5%Possession10/10●45.3%

5.4 corners/match●Corners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nottingham Forest5 matchesWest Ham United5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.81 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/512.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

49.8%●Possession5/544%

6.2 corners/match●Corners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4