PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 1–1 Leicester City · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town and Leicester City drew 1–1.

Shots
1420
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
11.55
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town and Leicester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Leicester City): shots 14–20, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1–1.55, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

moderate

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots20 shotsIpswich Town 14 shots, Leicester City 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsIpswich Town 2 shots, Leicester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.55 xGIpswich Town 1 xG, Leicester City 1.55 xG
  • Possession42%58%Ipswich Town 42%, Leicester City 58%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersIpswich Town 4 corners, Leicester City 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsIpswich Town 11 fouls, Leicester City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHarry Winks · Leicester City · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKalvin Phillips · Ipswich Town · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKalvin Phillips · Ipswich Town · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · Ipswich Town · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Winks · Leicester City · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBoubakary Soumaré · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Ipswich Town · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKalvin Phillips · Ipswich Town · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.08 xG · goalJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 31′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 3′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.29 xG · goalSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 9′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG. Leicester City: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Leif Davis · Ipswich Town · 55′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.00 xG · Leicester City 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ipswich Town
2Draws
0Leicester City
Leicester City — Ipswich Town · Championship1–1
Ipswich Town — Leicester City · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town10 matchesLeicester City10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.06 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 10.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 3.2 shots/match
41.2%Possession10/10● 47.5%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners10/103.4 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownLeicester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headIpswich Town — Leicester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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