Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–0 Everton · Premier League

1–0Historical match

Everton

DWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 1–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.741.56
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Everton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Everton): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.74–1.56, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.7 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.5% ●PossessionSouthampton · Everton37.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonEvertonBaseline
Possession55.5%37.4%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsSouthampton 9 shots, Everton 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSouthampton 2 shots, Everton 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.56 xGSouthampton 0.74 xG, Everton 1.56 xG
  • Possession65%35%Southampton 65%, Everton 35%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersSouthampton 3 corners, Everton 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsSouthampton 14 fouls, Everton 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoe Aribo · Southampton · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoe Aribo · Southampton · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOrel Mangala · Everton · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichael Keane · Everton · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 85′ · 0.12 xG · goalTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 79′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 85′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG. Everton: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Adam Armstrong · Southampton · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.72 xG · Everton 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Southampton
0Draws
2Everton
Everton — Southampton · Premier League1–2
Southampton — Everton · Premier League1–2
Southampton — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Southampton · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton10 matchesEverton10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1 goal/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.11 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 11.3 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 3.9 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession10/1037.4%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners10/103.9 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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