PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 2–0 Southampton · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 2–0.

Shots
89
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.260.66
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Southampton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Southampton): shots 8–9, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.26–0.66, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5%PossessionWolverhampton · Southampton● 56.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonSouthamptonBaseline
Possession44.5%56.9%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Southampton 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsWolverhampton 4 shots, Southampton 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.66 xGWolverhampton 1.26 xG, Southampton 0.66 xG
  • Possession29%71%Wolverhampton 29%, Southampton 71%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersWolverhampton 1 corner, Southampton 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsWolverhampton 14 fouls, Southampton 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jan Bednarek · Southampton · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyler Dibling · Southampton · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 51′ · 0.04 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYukinari Sugawara · Southampton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Southampton · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 39′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.29 xG. Southampton: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.65 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.29 xG · Southampton 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Wolverhampton
0Draws
0Southampton
Southampton — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–2
Wolverhampton — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Wolverhampton — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton11 matchesSouthampton11 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.64 goals/match
2.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.91 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.1 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots11/1110.3 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.09 shots/match
44.5%Possession11/11● 56.9%
3.18 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.91 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonSouthampton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Southampton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required