PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.48 xG/match2.61 xG/match▲
Possession52%●48%
Corners6 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Adams · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 50′ · 0.05 xG · goalLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 22′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 49′ · 0.12 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 27′ · 0.13 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 85′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 58′ · 0.49 xG · goalMarcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 15′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 17′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.49 xG. Bournemouth: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 27′Mikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 50′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 58′Evanilson · Bournemouth · 17′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.49 xG · Bournemouth 2.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford have a visible home split

moderate

Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Bournemouth15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordBournemouthBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brentford
2Draws
0Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League1–2
Brentford — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Brentford — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0
Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 7 · 3 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.36 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.36 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/111.73 xG/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.34 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲15.2 shots/match
18.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲13.1 shots/match
5.36 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/114.73 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲5.55 shots/match
47.2%●Possessionseason · 11/1144.1%
4.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/11●6.27 corners/match
7.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5.27 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
6.91 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲9%
91%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford37.5
Bournemouth17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford59.2
Bournemouth55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford5.8
Bournemouth42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford17.5
Bournemouth92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford5
Bournemouth97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford17.5
Bournemouth87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford28.1
Bournemouth78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford11 matchesBournemouth11 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.36 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.73 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots11/11▲15.2 shots/match
5.36 shots/match▲Shots on target11/114.73 shots/match
47.2%●Possession11/1144.1%
4.45 corners/matchCorners11/11●6.27 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
6.91 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford6 matchesBournemouth6 matches
3 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
2.43 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.63 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲15.5 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
50.2%●Possession6/648%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/6●6.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrentfordBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrentford — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Brentford 3–2 Bournemouth — Premier League 2024/25 Match Stats | PitchMath