PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brentford 3–2 Bournemouth · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 3–2.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.482.61
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Bournemouth 3–2. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Bournemouth): shots 12–15, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.48–2.61, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford have a visible home split

moderate

Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Bournemouth15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordBournemouthBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsBrentford 12 shots, Bournemouth 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBrentford 6 shots, Bournemouth 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG2.61 xGBrentford 1.48 xG, Bournemouth 2.61 xG
  • Possession52%48%Brentford 52%, Bournemouth 48%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersBrentford 6 corners, Bournemouth 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsBrentford 8 fouls, Bournemouth 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Adams · Bournemouth · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 50′ · 0.05 xG · goalLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 22′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 49′ · 0.12 xG · goalYoane Wissa · Brentford · 27′ · 0.13 xG · goalAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 85′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 58′ · 0.49 xG · goalMarcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 15′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blockedEvanilson · Bournemouth · 17′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.49 xG. Bournemouth: 15 shots, 3 on target, 2.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 27′Mikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 50′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 58′Evanilson · Bournemouth · 17′Justin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.49 xG · Bournemouth 2.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brentford
2Draws
0Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League1–2
Brentford — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Brentford — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0
Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford11 matchesBournemouth11 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.73 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 15.2 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.73 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession11/1144.1%
4.45 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.27 corners/match
6.91 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrentfordBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrentford — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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