PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Everton

WDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedEverton
Shots11 shots/match18 shots/match▲
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals0.83 xG/match1.11 xG/match▲
Possession49%51%●
Corners7 corners/match●6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · West Ham United · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAshley Young · Everton · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAshley Young · Everton · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDanny Ings · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 9′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDanny Ings · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.21 xG · on targetCrysencio Summerville · West Ham United · 74′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 61′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.81 xG. Everton: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.81 xG · Everton 1.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3West Ham United
0Draws
2Everton
Everton — West Ham United · Premier League1–3
West Ham United — Everton · Premier League0–1
West Ham United — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — West Ham United · Premier League1–0
West Ham United — Everton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 4 · 4 too close

1.18 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.91 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.55 goals/match
1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.11 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.46 xG/match
13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111.9 shots/match
16.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲13.4 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.91 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/114.55 shots/match
45.6%●Possessionseason · 11/1138.6%
4.91 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/114.09 corners/match
6.45 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/116.18 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲27%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United27.5
Everton2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United37.5
Everton20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United33.3
Everton44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United72.5
Everton82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United90
Everton25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United25
Everton12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United48.8
Everton20.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United11 matchesEverton11 matches
1.18 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.55 goals/match
1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.11 xG/match
13.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.9 shots/match
4.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match
45.6%●Possession11/1138.6%
4.91 corners/match●Corners11/114.09 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United6 matchesEverton6 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match
1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.24 xG/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots6/613 shots/match
5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.17 shots/match
47%●Possession6/638%
5.33 corners/match●Corners6/64.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/612.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWest Ham UnitedEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this