Premier League · 2024Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

LLLLD

2–2Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	Crystal Palace
Shots	11 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.53 xG/match	2.51 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wolverhampton: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG. Crystal Palace: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.56 xG · Crystal Palace 2.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.4 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsWolverhampton · Crystal Palace14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Wolverhampton	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	16 shots/match	13 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Wolverhampton

0Draws

4Crystal Palace

11 May 2024Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–3

3 Sept 2023Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–2

25 Apr 2023Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–0

18 Oct 2022Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1

5 Mar 2022Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 9 · 2 too close

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.8 goals/match

2.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/10▲1.25 xG/match

1.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.46 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/10▲14.5 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲13 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲4.9 shots/match

6.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲4.6 shots/match

46%Possessionseason · 10/10●46.8%

3.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/10●5.4 corners/match

8.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲5.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1011 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲20%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1060%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton27.5

Crystal Palace32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton32.5

Crystal Palace45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton10.8

Crystal Palace51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton12.5

Crystal Palace87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton85

Crystal Palace20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton5

Crystal Palace45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton33.8

Crystal Palace48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton10 matchesCrystal Palace10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

2.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.25 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.5 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

46%Possession10/10●46.8%

3.4 corners/matchCorners10/10●5.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton5 matchesCrystal Palace5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.23 xG/match

9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

42.6%Possession5/5●48.8%

3 corners/matchCorners5/5●6.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4