Premier League · 2024Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

DLLWW

0–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

WLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	West Ham United
Shots	18 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.64 xG/match▲	0.81 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 18 shots, 2 on target, 1.68 xG. West Ham United: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.68 xG · West Ham United 0.87 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Newcastle United

3Draws

0West Ham United

30 Mar 2024Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League4–3

8 Oct 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League2–2

5 Apr 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–5

4 Feb 2023Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

19 Feb 2022West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 3 · 5 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲1.25 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.58 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.38 xG/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.69 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1213.6 shots/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1216.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲4.58 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲4.33 shots/match

49.2%●Possessionseason · 12/1245.8%

5.92 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.75 corners/match

6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/126.58 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United47.5

West Ham United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United25.8

West Ham United39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United48.3

West Ham United34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United52.5

West Ham United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United37.5

West Ham United85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United57.5

West Ham United30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United37.5

West Ham United48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United12 matchesWest Ham United12 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.25 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match

1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.38 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots12/1213.6 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.58 shots/match

49.2%●Possession12/1245.8%

5.92 corners/match●Corners12/124.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United6 matchesWest Ham United6 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.17 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.81 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲13 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/63.5 shots/match

40.5%Possession6/6●44.5%

6 corners/match●Corners6/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4