Premier League · 2024Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Crystal Palace

LWDLD

1–1Historical match

Newcastle United

LLWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Newcastle United
Shots	16 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	1.76 xG/match▲	0.04 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	8 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.85 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace

2Draws

2Newcastle United

24 Apr 2024Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0

21 Oct 2023Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–0

21 Jan 2023Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0

3 Sept 2022Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0

20 Apr 2022Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 6 · 3 too close

0.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.4 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.34 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1312.2 shots/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1314.6 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.69 shots/match

4.46 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.92 shots/match

44.8%Possessionseason · 13/13●49.3%

4.92 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/13●6.15 corners/match

6.23 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/136.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲23%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace22.5

Newcastle United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace44.2

Newcastle United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace54.2

Newcastle United50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace82.5

Newcastle United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace22.5

Newcastle United32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace32.5

Newcastle United75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace43.8

Newcastle United38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace13 matchesNewcastle United13 matches

0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.08 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.4 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots13/1312.2 shots/match

4.92 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match

44.8%Possession13/13●49.3%

4.92 corners/matchCorners13/13●6.15 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace7 matchesNewcastle United7 matches

0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.29 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.48 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots7/712.4 shots/match

4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match

44.1%Possession7/7●56.9%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7●6.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/79 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4