PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle United · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace and Newcastle United drew 1–1.

Shots
161
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.760.04
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace and Newcastle United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Newcastle United): shots 16–1, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.76–0.04, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots1 shotCrystal Palace 16 shots, Newcastle United 1 shot
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsCrystal Palace 4 shots, Newcastle United 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG0.04 xGCrystal Palace 1.76 xG, Newcastle United 0.04 xG
  • Possession49%51%Crystal Palace 49%, Newcastle United 51%
  • Corners8 corners9 cornersCrystal Palace 8 corners, Newcastle United 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsCrystal Palace 12 fouls, Newcastle United 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Crystal Palace
2Draws
2Newcastle United
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–0
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace13 matchesNewcastle United13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.4 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.2 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match
44.8%Possession13/13● 49.3%
4.92 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.15 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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