Premier League · 2024Tue, 3 Dec 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Ipswich Town

LDWDL

0–1Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

WDLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ipswich Town	Crystal Palace
Shots	9 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.49 xG/match	1.64 xG/match▲
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Ipswich Town: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG. Crystal Palace: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.49 xG · Crystal Palace 1.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, Crystal Palace. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.86 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, Crystal Palace.

3.19 days▲Rest daysIpswich Town · Crystal Palace3.19 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Ipswich Town	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Rest days	3.19 days	3.19 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

moderate

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.64 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	9.64 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 8 · 4 too close

0.93 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.86 goals/match

1.79 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.29 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.33 xG/match

2.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.43 xG/match

9.64 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲14.3 shots/match

14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12.4 shots/match

3.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.79 shots/match

5.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.29 shots/match

42.5%Possessionseason · 14/14●44.9%

4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/14●5.07 corners/match

6.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/146.07 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲21%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town12.5

Crystal Palace22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town9.2

Crystal Palace37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town22.5

Crystal Palace60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town12.5

Crystal Palace87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town87.5

Crystal Palace30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town32.5

Crystal Palace37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town32.5

Crystal Palace41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Ipswich Town14 matchesCrystal Palace14 matches

0.93 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match

1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.29 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.33 xG/match

9.64 shots/matchShots14/14▲14.3 shots/match

3.14 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.79 shots/match

42.5%Possession14/14●44.9%

4.93 corners/matchCorners14/14●5.07 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Ipswich Town7 matchesCrystal Palace7 matches

0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.43 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.29 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲15 shots/match

3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲5.29 shots/match

46%●Possession7/745.7%

5.29 corners/matchCorners7/7●5.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.19 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Dec 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4