PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Southampton 2–3 Liverpool · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 2–3.

Shots
727
Shots on target
511
Expected goals
1.283.15
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Southampton 3–2. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Liverpool): shots 7–27, shots on target 5–11, expected goals 1.28–3.15, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Southampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Liverpool15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonLiverpoolBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.8 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots27 shotsSouthampton 7 shots, Liverpool 27 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots11 shotsSouthampton 5 shots, Liverpool 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG3.15 xGSouthampton 1.28 xG, Liverpool 3.15 xG
  • Possession38%62%Southampton 38%, Liverpool 62%
  • Corners3 corners10 cornersSouthampton 3 corners, Liverpool 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsSouthampton 11 fouls, Liverpool 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedConor Bradley · Liverpool · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyler Dibling · Southampton · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlynn Downes · Southampton · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Stephens · Southampton · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConor Bradley · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedConor Bradley · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 30′ · 0.12 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 56′ · 0.17 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.50 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 42′ · 0.66 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 42′ · 0.82 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG. Liverpool: 27 shots, 11 on target, 3.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Adam Armstrong · Southampton · 42′Mateus Fernandes · Southampton · 56′Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 30′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 1.82 xG · Liverpool 3.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
1Draws
3Liverpool
Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League4–4
Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League1–2
Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton12 matchesLiverpool12 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.97 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 6.42 shots/match
55.3%Possession12/12● 57.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.17 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headSouthampton — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required