Premier League · 2024Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Southampton

LLLWL

2–3Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Southampton	Liverpool
Shots	7 shots/match	27 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.28 xG/match	3.15 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%●
Corners	3 corners/match	10 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Southampton: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG. Liverpool: 27 shots, 11 on target, 3.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 1.82 xG · Liverpool 3.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.75 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Southampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Southampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsSouthampton · Liverpool15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	17.8 shots/match	9.75 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Southampton

1Draws

3Liverpool

28 May 2023Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League4–4

12 Nov 2022Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League3–1

17 May 2022Southampton — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

27 Nov 2021Liverpool — Southampton · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Southampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.67 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲1.97 xG/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.89 xG/match

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲15.2 shots/match

17.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲9.75 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲6.42 shots/match

6.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.42 shots/match

55.3%Possessionseason · 12/12●57.8%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/12●6.17 corners/match

7.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Southampton77.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Southampton8.3

Liverpool88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Southampton7.5

Liverpool95.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Southampton2.5

Liverpool52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Southampton67.5

Liverpool55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Southampton27.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Southampton29.4

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Southampton12 matchesLiverpool12 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.67 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲1.97 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots12/12▲15.2 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲6.42 shots/match

55.3%Possession12/12●57.8%

4.75 corners/matchCorners12/12●6.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Southampton6 matchesLiverpool6 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲2.17 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲2.06 xG/match

8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲15.2 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.5 shots/match

51.3%Possession6/6●58.2%

3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6●7.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4