Premier League · 2024Fri, 29 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tyler Dibling · Southampton · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Dibling · Southampton · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlynn Downes · Southampton · 59′ · 0.08 xG · goalMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 74′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 24′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.13 xG · goalAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 59′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 44′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 5 on target, 1.72 xG. Southampton: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′Flynn Downes · Southampton · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.72 xG · Southampton 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
0Southampton
Brighton & Hove AlbionSouthampton · Premier League31
SouthamptonBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League13
Brighton & Hove AlbionSouthampton · Premier League22
SouthamptonBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4