PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 1–1 Manchester United · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town and Manchester United drew 1–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.590.8
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town and Manchester United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Manchester United): shots 11–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.59–0.8, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.92 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Manchester United13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots9.92 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

moderate

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.92 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.92 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsIpswich Town 11 shots, Manchester United 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsIpswich Town 6 shots, Manchester United 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG0.8 xGIpswich Town 1.59 xG, Manchester United 0.8 xG
  • Possession40%60%Ipswich Town 40%, Manchester United 60%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersIpswich Town 4 corners, Manchester United 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsIpswich Town 11 fouls, Manchester United 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 43′ · 0.02 xG · goalAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSam Morsy · Ipswich Town · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · Manchester United · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens-Lys Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 29′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSammie Szmodics · Ipswich Town · 7′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 46′ · 0.19 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 2′ · 0.26 xG · goalLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 40′ · 0.36 xG · on targetLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 52′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.58 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 43′Marcus Rashford · Manchester United · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.58 xG · Manchester United 0.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town12 matchesManchester United12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.08 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.53 xG/match
9.92 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.08 shots/match
40.5%Possession12/12● 52.7%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.33 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required