PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

West Ham United 2–5 Arsenal · Premier League

2–5Historical match

Arsenal

LDLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 2–5.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.543.6
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat West Ham United 5–2. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Arsenal): shots 12–16, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.54–3.6, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.43 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.43 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Arsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Ham United · Arsenal14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedArsenalBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsWest Ham United 12 shots, Arsenal 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsWest Ham United 5 shots, Arsenal 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG3.6 xGWest Ham United 1.54 xG, Arsenal 3.6 xG
  • Possession40%60%West Ham United 40%, Arsenal 60%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersWest Ham United 2 corners, Arsenal 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsWest Ham United 10 fouls, Arsenal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Jesus · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · West Ham United · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 40′ · 0.09 xG · goalDanny Ings · West Ham United · 79′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 10′ · 0.19 xG · goalAaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 38′ · 0.40 xG · goalDanny Ings · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 36′ · 0.60 xG · goalLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 27′ · 0.65 xG · goalMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 34′ · 0.82 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG. Arsenal: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Aaron Wan-Bissaka · West Ham United · 38′Emerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 40′Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 10′Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 27′Martin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 34′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 36′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.53 xG · Arsenal 3.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Ham United
1Draws
3Arsenal
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League0–6
Arsenal — West Ham United · Premier League0–2
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League2–2
Arsenal — West Ham United · Premier League3–1
West Ham United — Arsenal · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United13 matchesArsenal13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.7 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.23 shots/match
45.3%Possession13/13● 52.3%
4.54 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.31 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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