Premier League · 2024Mon, 16 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bournemouth

LLWWW

1–1Full-time recap

West Ham United

DWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bournemouth	West Ham United
Shots	29 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.01 xG/match	2.06 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	12 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bournemouth: 29 shots, 9 on target, 2.00 xG. West Ham United: 16 shots, 3 on target, 2.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 2.00 xG · West Ham United 2.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: West Ham United's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/match▲ShotsBournemouth · West Ham United15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bournemouth	West Ham United	Baseline
Shots	16.9 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	12.9 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Ham United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	18.6 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bournemouth

2Draws

2West Ham United

1 Feb 2024West Ham United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1

12 Aug 2023Bournemouth — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

23 Apr 2023Bournemouth — West Ham United · Premier League0–4

24 Oct 2022West Ham United — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 1 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.31 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.81 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 16/161.51 xG/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 16/161.82 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1615.1 shots/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1616.8 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.81 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.94 shots/match

45.2%Possessionseason · 16/16●47.1%

6.88 corners/match●Cornersseason · 16/165.31 corners/match

5.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/166.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲19%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth22.5

West Ham United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth75

West Ham United53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth44.2

West Ham United24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth97.5

West Ham United82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth97.5

West Ham United75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth87.5

West Ham United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth88.8

West Ham United63.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bournemouth16 matchesWest Ham United16 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.81 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals16/161.51 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1615.1 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.81 shots/match

45.2%Possession16/16●47.1%

6.88 corners/match●Corners16/165.31 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bournemouth8 matchesWest Ham United8 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.25 xG/match

17.9 shots/match▲Shots8/815.6 shots/match

6.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match

42.3%Possession8/8●47.1%

6.75 corners/match●Corners8/85 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4