Premier League · 2024

Chelsea 2–1 Brentford · Premier League

Chelsea

DWWWW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 2–1.

Shots
269
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.231.61
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Brentford 2–1. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Brentford): shots 26–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.23–1.61, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.31 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsChelsea · Brentford10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaBrentfordBaseline
Shots16 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match18.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford have a visible away split

moderate

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots9 shotsChelsea 26 shots, Brentford 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsChelsea 8 shots, Brentford 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG1.61 xGChelsea 2.23 xG, Brentford 1.61 xG
  • Possession62%38%Chelsea 62%, Brentford 38%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersChelsea 8 corners, Brentford 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsChelsea 11 fouls, Brentford 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKevin Schade · Brentford · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 80′ · 0.06 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 43′ · 0.12 xG · goalMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 39′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 3′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 73′ · 0.23 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 85′ · 0.31 xG · on targetFabio Carvalho · Brentford · 76′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 60′ · 0.77 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Chelsea: 26 shots, 8 on target, 2.27 xG. Brentford: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marc Cucurella · Chelsea · 43′Nicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 80′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 2.27 xG · Brentford 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chelsea
2Draws
3Brentford
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League2–2
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League0–2
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League0–2
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea16 matchesBrentford16 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/162 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.88 goals/match
2.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.6 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610.9 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/165 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession16/1647.1%
6.31 corners/match ●Corners16/164.44 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/167.94 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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