Premier League · 2024Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Southampton

LLDLL

0–5Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Southampton	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	9 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.84 xG/match	2.44 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	8 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Southampton: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.85 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.31 shots/match▲ShotsSouthampton · Tottenham Hotspur15.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	9.31 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	18.6 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Southampton

2Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

18 Mar 2023Southampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–3

6 Aug 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Southampton · Premier League4–1

9 Feb 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Southampton · Premier League2–3

28 Dec 2021Southampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Southampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 11 · 2 too close

0.69 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.25 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.19 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/16▲1.95 xG/match

2.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.52 xG/match

9.31 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲15.6 shots/match

18.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11.9 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲6.06 shots/match

6.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.19 shots/match

53.3%Possessionseason · 16/16●58.4%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●8.19 corners/match

7.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲5.56 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲25%

56%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Southampton62.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Southampton4.2

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Southampton7.5

Tottenham Hotspur71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Southampton2.5

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Southampton62.5

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Southampton20

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Southampton23.1

Tottenham Hotspur78.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Southampton16 matchesTottenham Hotspur16 matches

0.69 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.25 goals/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.19 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.95 xG/match

9.31 shots/matchShots16/16▲15.6 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲6.06 shots/match

53.3%Possession16/16●58.4%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/16●8.19 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Southampton8 matchesTottenham Hotspur8 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2 goals/match

2.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.87 xG/match

8.38 shots/matchShots8/8▲15.3 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲6.13 shots/match

49.4%Possession8/8●60.9%

3.63 corners/matchCorners8/8●7.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Dec 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4