PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

West Ham United 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.310.94
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 11–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.31–0.94, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Ham United · Brighton & Hove Albion14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsWest Ham United 11 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsWest Ham United 4 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.94 xGWest Ham United 1.31 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.94 xG
  • Possession46%54%West Ham United 46%, Brighton & Hove Albion 54%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersWest Ham United 8 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsWest Ham United 14 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niclas Füllkrug · West Ham United · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 8′ · 0.17 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.20 xG · goalMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 58′ · 0.20 xG · goalCrysencio Summerville · West Ham United · 78′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 58′Mats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.32 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Ham United
1Draws
3Brighton & Hove Albion
West Ham United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League4–0
West Ham United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United17 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion17 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.42 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots17/1714.4 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target17/174.82 shots/match
47%Possession17/17● 53.7%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners17/175.29 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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