Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 2–0 Chelsea · Premier League

2–0Historical match

Chelsea

WWWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town won 2–0.

Shots
920
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.582
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town beat Chelsea 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Chelsea): shots 9–20, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.58–2, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town.

2.98 days ▲Rest daysIpswich Town · Chelsea4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownChelseaBaseline
Rest days2.98 days4.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.74 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Chelsea15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownChelseaBaseline
Shots9.74 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsIpswich Town 9 shots, Chelsea 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsIpswich Town 6 shots, Chelsea 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG2 xGIpswich Town 1.58 xG, Chelsea 2 xG
  • Possession24%76%Ipswich Town 24%, Chelsea 76%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersIpswich Town 4 corners, Chelsea 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsIpswich Town 9 fouls, Chelsea 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Liam Delap · Ipswich Town · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Ipswich Town · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Neto · Chelsea · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 74′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 36′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 53′ · 0.12 xG · goalEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 42′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 47′ · 0.18 xG · on targetNathan Broadhead · Ipswich Town · 4′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.75 xG · on targetLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 12′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.60 xG. Chelsea: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Liam Delap · Ipswich Town · 12′Omari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.60 xG · Chelsea 2.06 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town19 matchesChelsea19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 2.06 xG/match
9.74 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 6.21 shots/match
41.2%Possession19/19● 58.2%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.11 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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