Premier League · 2024

Everton 0–1 Aston Villa · Premier League

Everton

DDDLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 0–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.141.21
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Everton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Aston Villa): shots 10–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.14–1.21, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa have a visible away split

moderate

Aston Villa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Aston Villa12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonAston VillaBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsEverton 10 shots, Aston Villa 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsEverton 3 shots, Aston Villa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.21 xGEverton 1.14 xG, Aston Villa 1.21 xG
  • Possession50%50%Everton 50%, Aston Villa 50%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersEverton 8 corners, Aston Villa 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsEverton 17 fouls, Aston Villa 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Idrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Aston Villa · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Aston Villa · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Kamara · Aston Villa · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 74′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 47′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 38′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 51′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG. Aston Villa: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 1.14 xG · Aston Villa 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Everton
1Draws
4Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League3–2
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League4–0
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton20 matchesAston Villa21 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/21▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/211.52 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals20/21▲ 1.56 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots20/21▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target20/21▲ 4.19 shots/match
40.3%Possession20/21● 50.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners20/21● 6.52 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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