Premier League · 2024

Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa · Premier League

Arsenal

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2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal and Aston Villa drew 2–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.331.04
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal and Aston Villa drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Aston Villa): shots 18–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.33–1.04, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Arsenal, Aston Villa.

2.9 days ▲Rest daysArsenal · Aston Villa2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricArsenalAston VillaBaseline
Rest days2.9 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Arsenal have a visible home split

strong

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match14 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.59 corners/match ●CornersArsenal · Aston Villa6.27 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricArsenalAston VillaBaseline
Corners6.59 corners/match6.27 corners/match5.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsArsenal 18 shots, Aston Villa 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsArsenal 6 shots, Aston Villa 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.04 xGArsenal 1.33 xG, Aston Villa 1.04 xG
  • Possession66%34%Arsenal 66%, Aston Villa 34%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerArsenal 10 corners, Aston Villa 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsArsenal 10 fouls, Aston Villa 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamare Bogarde · Aston Villa · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 3′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMikel Merino · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.10 xG · goalYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.21 xG · goalRaheem Sterling · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 35′ · 0.36 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 68′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.33 xG. Aston Villa: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 35′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 55′Youri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 60′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 1.33 xG · Aston Villa 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Arsenal
0Draws
2Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League0–2
Arsenal — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Arsenal · Premier League2–4
Arsenal — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal22 matchesAston Villa22 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.5 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.55 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.54 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.5 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.18 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession22/2249.8%
6.59 corners/match ●Corners22/226.27 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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