Premier League · 2024Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

LLLLL

0–2Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

WLDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Crystal Palace
Shots	21 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.7 xG/match	1.82 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 21 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG. Crystal Palace: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.73 xG · Crystal Palace 1.85 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1.1 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.29 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Crystal Palace13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Shots	9.29 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	17.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Leicester City

3Draws

1Crystal Palace

14 Sept 2024Crystal Palace — Leicester City · Premier League2–2

1 Apr 2023Crystal Palace — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

15 Oct 2022Leicester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–0

10 Apr 2022Leicester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–1

3 Oct 2021Crystal Palace — Leicester City · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 9 · 3 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/211.1 goals/match

2.19 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.33 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/21▲1.39 xG/match

1.99 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.46 xG/match

9.29 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲13.9 shots/match

17.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲13.2 shots/match

3.19 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲5 shots/match

6.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲4.14 shots/match

46.2%●Possessionseason · 21/2143.5%

3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/21●4.95 corners/match

6.62 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2110.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

5%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲24%

76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2171%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City27.5

Crystal Palace17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City10

Crystal Palace45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City12.5

Crystal Palace60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City7.5

Crystal Palace87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City25

Crystal Palace17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City7.5

Crystal Palace42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City10.6

Crystal Palace44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City21 matchesCrystal Palace21 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.1 goals/match

2.19 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲1.33 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲1.39 xG/match

9.29 shots/matchShots21/21▲13.9 shots/match

3.19 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲5 shots/match

46.2%●Possession21/2143.5%

3.38 corners/matchCorners21/21●4.95 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City11 matchesCrystal Palace10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲1.36 xG/match

9.82 shots/matchShots11/10▲13.7 shots/match

3.09 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲5 shots/match

50.1%●Possession11/1044.6%

3.45 corners/matchCorners11/10●4.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1011.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4