Premier League · 2024Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

DDLLL

3–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.03 xG/match▲	1.11 xG/match
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	3 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Tottenham Hotspur. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.05 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	2.05 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Tottenham Hotspur.

3.77 days▲Rest daysEverton · Tottenham Hotspur3.75 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Rest days	3.77 days	3.75 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.1%PossessionEverton · Tottenham Hotspur●57.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	40.1%	57.8%	50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Everton

2Draws

3Tottenham Hotspur

24 Aug 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League4–0

3 Feb 2024Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

23 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League2–1

3 Apr 2023Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

15 Oct 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 6 · 4 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/22▲2.05 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/221.59 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/22▲1.75 xG/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 21/221.72 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/22▲14.5 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2212.5 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/22▲5.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/224.5 shots/match

40.1%Possessionseason · 21/22●57.8%

4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/22●7.77 corners/match

5.95 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/22▲5.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2211.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2218%

43%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/22▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton7.5

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton17.5

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton47.5

Tottenham Hotspur47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton72.5

Tottenham Hotspur27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton72.5

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton22.5

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton35

Tottenham Hotspur71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton21 matchesTottenham Hotspur22 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/22▲2.05 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/221.59 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲1.75 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots21/22▲14.5 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲5.5 shots/match

40.1%Possession21/22●57.8%

4.19 corners/matchCorners21/22●7.77 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2211.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton11 matchesTottenham Hotspur11 matches

1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.73 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.61 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots11/11▲14.2 shots/match

3.82 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5.55 shots/match

43.2%Possession11/11●60.7%

4.45 corners/matchCorners11/11●7.18 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.75 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4