Premier League · 2024Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Manchester United

LLLDW

1–3Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

DDDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Manchester United	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.41 xG/match	1.98 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Manchester United: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.51 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.51 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United, Brighton & Hove Albion. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United, Brighton & Hove Albion.

2.75 days▲Rest daysManchester United · Brighton & Hove Albion2.77 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Manchester United	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Rest days	2.75 days	2.77 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Manchester United

0Draws

4Brighton & Hove Albion

24 Aug 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League2–1

19 May 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League0–2

16 Sept 2023Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–3

4 May 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League1–0

7 Aug 2022Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 4 · 6 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲1.59 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.36 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/221.41 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.46 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2214.1 shots/match

11.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2211.6 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/224.77 shots/match

4.05 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224 shots/match

53.7%●Possessionseason · 22/2252.7%

4.95 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/22●5.05 corners/match

4.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.18 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2223%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United72.5

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United40

Brighton & Hove Albion61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United64.2

Brighton & Hove Albion65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United42.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United42.5

Brighton & Hove Albion77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United47.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United45

Brighton & Hove Albion64.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United22 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion22 matches

1.23 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲1.59 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲1.36 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals22/221.41 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots22/2214.1 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on target22/224.77 shots/match

53.7%●Possession22/2252.7%

4.95 corners/matchCorners22/22●5.05 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2212 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United12 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion12 matches

1.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.75 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.42 goals/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.28 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots12/1212.3 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target12/124.67 shots/match

54.1%●Possession12/1251.7%

5.08 corners/match●Corners12/124.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.77 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4