PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Ipswich Town 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–2.

Shots
511
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.280.97
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Ipswich Town 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 5–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.28–0.97, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.38 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.8 shots/match9.38 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.38 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Brighton & Hove Albion14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots9.38 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

moderate

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.38 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match9.38 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots11 shotsIpswich Town 5 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsIpswich Town 3 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG0.97 xGIpswich Town 0.28 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 0.97 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ipswich Town 46%, Brighton & Hove Albion 54%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersIpswich Town 1 corner, Brighton & Hove Albion 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsIpswich Town 13 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLiam Delap · Ipswich Town · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Ipswich Town · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′ · 0.11 xG · goalJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 22′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWes Burns · Ipswich Town · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.16 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.30 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′Georginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.30 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ipswich Town
1Draws
0Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Ipswich Town · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town21 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.38 xG/match
9.38 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.86 shots/match
40.7%Possession21/21● 52.9%
4.19 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.19 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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