Premier League · 2024Thu, 16 Jan 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Ipswich Town

WLLWD

0–2Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

LDDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ipswich Town	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	5 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.28 xG/match	0.97 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	1 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Ipswich Town: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.30 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 0.30 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.38 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.8 shots/match	9.38 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.38 shots/match▲ShotsIpswich Town · Brighton & Hove Albion14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Ipswich Town	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Shots	9.38 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town have a visible home split

moderate

Ipswich Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.38 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	9.38 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Ipswich Town

1Draws

0Brighton & Hove Albion

14 Sept 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Ipswich Town · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 11 · 2 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.52 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.38 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 21/21▲1.38 xG/match

2.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 21/21▲1.47 xG/match

9.38 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/21▲14.5 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/21▲11.7 shots/match

3.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲4.86 shots/match

5.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/21▲4.14 shots/match

40.7%Possessionseason · 21/21●52.9%

4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/21●5.19 corners/match

6.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲5.24 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2112 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/21▲24%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town12.5

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town10.8

Brighton & Hove Albion59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town21.7

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town17.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town82.5

Brighton & Hove Albion75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town12.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town28.8

Brighton & Hove Albion61.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Ipswich Town21 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion21 matches

0.95 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.52 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲1.38 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲1.38 xG/match

9.38 shots/matchShots21/21▲14.5 shots/match

3.24 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲4.86 shots/match

40.7%Possession21/21●52.9%

4.19 corners/matchCorners21/21●5.19 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2112 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Ipswich Town11 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion11 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.64 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.45 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.22 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots11/11▲12.8 shots/match

3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.82 shots/match

43.4%Possession11/11●51.9%

4.55 corners/matchCorners11/11●4.73 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 Jan 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4