Premier League · 2024

Chelsea 3–1 Wolverhampton · Premier League

Chelsea

DLLDD
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 3–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
3.150.86
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Wolverhampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Wolverhampton): shots 19–9, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 3.15–0.86, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.45 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsChelsea · Wolverhampton10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChelseaWolverhamptonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionChelsea · Wolverhampton46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaWolverhamptonBaseline
Possession58.5%46.9%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsChelsea 19 shots, Wolverhampton 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsChelsea 7 shots, Wolverhampton 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.15 xG0.86 xGChelsea 3.15 xG, Wolverhampton 0.86 xG
  • Possession63%37%Chelsea 63%, Wolverhampton 37%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersChelsea 3 corners, Wolverhampton 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsChelsea 8 fouls, Wolverhampton 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Trevoh Chalobah · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReece James · Chelsea · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Wolverhampton · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReece James · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 12′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTrevoh Chalobah · Chelsea · 65′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 2′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Wolverhampton · 83′ · 0.20 xG · on targetKiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Chelsea · 11′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.25 xG · goalMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.32 xG · goalMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 60′ · 0.93 xG · goalNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 65′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Chelsea: 19 shots, 7 on target, 3.20 xG. Wolverhampton: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Tosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 24′Marc Cucurella · Chelsea · 60′Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 65′Matt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Chelsea 3.20 xG · Wolverhampton 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
0Draws
3Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League2–6
Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–4
Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League1–0
Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea22 matchesWolverhampton22 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.45 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222.32 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.08 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.8 shots/match
6.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.36 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession22/2246.9%
6.09 corners/match ●Corners22/223.36 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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