PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Wolverhampton 0–1 Arsenal · Premier League

0–1Historical match

Arsenal

WWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 0–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.741
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Wolverhampton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Arsenal): shots 9–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.74–1, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arsenal have a visible away split

strong

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Arsenal13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonArsenalBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsWolverhampton 9 shots, Arsenal 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsWolverhampton 4 shots, Arsenal 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1 xGWolverhampton 0.74 xG, Arsenal 1 xG
  • Possession52%48%Wolverhampton 52%, Arsenal 48%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersWolverhampton 1 corner, Arsenal 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsWolverhampton 20 fouls, Arsenal 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Agbadou · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThomas Partey · Arsenal · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 84′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalEthan Nwaneri · Arsenal · 40′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 10′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG. Arsenal: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Riccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.75 xG · Arsenal 1.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wolverhampton
0Draws
5Arsenal
Arsenal — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Arsenal · Premier League0–2
Arsenal — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1
Arsenal — Wolverhampton · Premier League5–0
Wolverhampton — Arsenal · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton23 matchesArsenal23 matches
1.39 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.91 goals/match
2.26 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.69 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5 shots/match
47.1%Possession23/23● 55.3%
3.26 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.52 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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