PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

Arsenal 3–0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

WWLWW
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 3–0.

Shots
175
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
2.480.13
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – GNK Dinamo Zagreb): shots 17–5, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 2.48–0.13, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

GNK Dinamo Zagreb's recent record differs from the season

moderate

GNK Dinamo Zagreb's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

GNK Dinamo Zagreb show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

GNK Dinamo Zagreb's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · GNK Dinamo Zagreb10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalGNK Dinamo ZagrebBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.29 shots/match16 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3% ●PossessionArsenal · GNK Dinamo Zagreb38%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalGNK Dinamo ZagrebBaseline
Possession52.3%38%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsArsenal 17 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsArsenal 4 shots, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.48 xG0.13 xGArsenal 2.48 xG, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.13 xG
  • Possession63%37%Arsenal 63%, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 37%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersArsenal 11 corners, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsArsenal 9 fouls, GNK Dinamo Zagreb 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arijan Ademi · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArber Hoxha · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Stojković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 2′ · 0.08 xG · goalKai Havertz · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 10′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 66′ · 0.35 xG · goalDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 76′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.50 xG. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Declan Rice · Arsenal · 2′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 66′Martin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.50 xG · GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.10 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · GNK Dinamo Zagreb in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal7 matchesGNK Dinamo Zagreb9 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/91.67 goals/match
0.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/92 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.83 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots7/910.1 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/93.33 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession7/938%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners7/93.33 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalGNK Dinamo Zagreb
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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