UEFA Champions League · 2024

Real Madrid 5–1 Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Champions League

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 5–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.840.45
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Red Bull Salzburg 5–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Red Bull Salzburg): shots 14–9, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.84–0.45, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid have a visible home split

weak

Real Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Red Bull Salzburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Salzburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Red Bull Salzburg10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridRed Bull SalzburgBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsReal Madrid 14 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsReal Madrid 6 shots, Red Bull Salzburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.84 xG0.45 xGReal Madrid 2.84 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 0.45 xG
  • Possession70%30%Real Madrid 70%, Red Bull Salzburg 30%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersReal Madrid 10 corners, Red Bull Salzburg 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Red Bull Salzburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adam Daghim · Red Bull Salzburg · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamson Baidoo · Red Bull Salzburg · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Red Bull Salzburg · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEndrick · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOscar Gloukh · Red Bull Salzburg · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMads Bidstrup · Red Bull Salzburg · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Kounfolo Yeo · Red Bull Salzburg · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.06 xG · goalArda Güler · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdam Daghim · Red Bull Salzburg · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Red Bull Salzburg · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMads Bidstrup · Red Bull Salzburg · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalJacobo Ramón · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.11 xG · goalBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 74′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 23′ · 0.15 xG · goalVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 88′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.59 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 48′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.84 xG. Red Bull Salzburg: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 23′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 34′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 48′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 55′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 77′Mads Bidstrup · Red Bull Salzburg · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.84 xG · Red Bull Salzburg 0.43 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Salzburg in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid7 matchesRed Bull Salzburg11 matches
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/111.09 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/112.55 goals/match
2.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.87 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/1110.5 shots/match
6.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/113.55 shots/match
53% ●Possession6/1146.9%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/113.82 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/1111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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