Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–3 Newcastle United · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 1–3.

Shots
1217
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
0.762.93
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Southampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Newcastle United): shots 12–17, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 0.76–2.93, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.7 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.65 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Newcastle United14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots9.65 shots/match14 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots17 shotsSouthampton 12 shots, Newcastle United 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsSouthampton 5 shots, Newcastle United 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG2.93 xGSouthampton 0.76 xG, Newcastle United 2.93 xG
  • Possession53%47%Southampton 53%, Newcastle United 47%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersSouthampton 3 corners, Newcastle United 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsSouthampton 10 fouls, Newcastle United 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joe Willock · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLesley Ugochukwu · Southampton · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTino Livramento · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKyle Walker-Peters · Southampton · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Southampton · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 36′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDan Burn · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 49′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJan Bednarek · Southampton · 10′ · 0.23 xG · goalJoelinton · Newcastle United · 64′ · 0.31 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 30′ · 0.56 xG · goalSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.57 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.78 xG. Newcastle United: 17 shots, 9 on target, 2.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jan Bednarek · Southampton · 10′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 26′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 30′Sandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 0.78 xG · Newcastle United 2.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
1Draws
4Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Newcastle United — Southampton · Premier League3–1
Southampton — Newcastle United · Premier League1–4
Southampton — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2
Newcastle United — Southampton · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton23 matchesNewcastle United23 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.78 goals/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.77 xG/match
9.65 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.7 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession23/2351%
4.43 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.91 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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