Premier League · 2024Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Newcastle United

WWWLW

1–2Full-time recap

Fulham

DDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Fulham
Shots	11 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.75 xG/match	1.56 xG/match▲
Possession	48%	52%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG. Fulham: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 0.76 xG · Fulham 1.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Newcastle United

0Draws

1Fulham

21 Sept 2024Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League3–1

6 Apr 2024Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League0–1

16 Dec 2023Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League3–0

15 Jan 2023Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League1–0

1 Oct 2022Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 4 · 5 too close

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241.5 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 24/241.33 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 24/241.4 xG/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.16 xG/match

13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2413.8 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲10.8 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/244.67 shots/match

4.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲4.08 shots/match

50.8%Possessionseason · 24/24●52.9%

5.79 corners/match●Cornersseason · 24/245.17 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4.42 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2410.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2417%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2488%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United52.5

Fulham62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United61.7

Fulham55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United55.8

Fulham68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United57.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United12.5

Fulham27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United62.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United48.1

Fulham48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United24 matchesFulham24 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241.5 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals24/241.4 xG/match

13.9 shots/matchShots24/2413.8 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target24/244.67 shots/match

50.8%Possession24/24●52.9%

5.79 corners/match●Corners24/245.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United12 matchesFulham12 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.5 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.17 goals/match

1.65 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.52 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots12/1213.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match

47.6%Possession12/12●52.7%

5.75 corners/match●Corners12/125 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4