PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Newcastle United 1–2 Fulham · Premier League

1–2Historical match

Fulham

DDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 1–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.751.56
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Newcastle United 2–1. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Fulham): shots 11–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.75–1.56, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsNewcastle United 11 shots, Fulham 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsNewcastle United 4 shots, Fulham 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.56 xGNewcastle United 0.75 xG, Fulham 1.56 xG
  • Possession48%52%Newcastle United 48%, Fulham 52%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersNewcastle United 3 corners, Fulham 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsNewcastle United 10 fouls, Fulham 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Fulham · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLloyd Kelly · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdama Traoré · Fulham · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTino Livramento · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDan Burn · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCalvin Bassey · Fulham · 50′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 37′ · 0.17 xG · goalRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 61′ · 0.24 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 82′ · 0.71 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG. Fulham: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 37′Raúl Jiménez · Fulham · 61′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 0.76 xG · Fulham 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Newcastle United
0Draws
1Fulham
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League3–1
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League0–1
Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League3–0
Newcastle United — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Newcastle United · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fulham in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United24 matchesFulham24 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.5 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.4 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots24/2413.8 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target24/244.67 shots/match
50.8%Possession24/24● 52.9%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners24/245.17 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedFulham
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Fulham
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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