PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Everton 4–0 Leicester City · Premier League

Everton

LLLWW
4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 4–0.

Shots
139
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.350.39
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Leicester City 4–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Leicester City): shots 13–9, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.35–0.39, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Leicester City9.29 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonLeicester CityBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.29 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsEverton 13 shots, Leicester City 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotEverton 7 shots, Leicester City 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.35 xG0.39 xGEverton 2.35 xG, Leicester City 0.39 xG
  • Possession47%53%Everton 47%, Leicester City 53%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersEverton 5 corners, Leicester City 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsEverton 7 fouls, Leicester City 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Idrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVictor Kristiansen · Leicester City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Justin · Leicester City · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 60′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 6′ · 0.25 xG · goalJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 73′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 1′ · 0.34 xG · goalAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 45′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 45′ · 0.41 xG · goalIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.55 xG. Leicester City: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Abdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 1′Beto · Everton · 6′Beto · Everton · 45′Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 2.55 xG · Leicester City 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
3Draws
1Leicester City
Leicester City — Everton · Premier League1–1
Leicester City — Everton · Premier League2–2
Everton — Leicester City · Premier League0–2
Leicester City — Everton · Premier League1–2
Everton — Leicester City · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton23 matchesLeicester City24 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored23/241.04 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/242.21 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/240.98 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots23/249.29 shots/match
3.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/243.13 shots/match
40%Possession23/24● 45.9%
4.09 corners/match ●Corners23/243.58 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonLeicester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headEverton — Leicester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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