Premier League · 2024Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

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4–0Full-time recap

Leicester City

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Leicester City
Shots	13 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.35 xG/match▲	0.39 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	5 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.55 xG. Leicester City: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 2.55 xG · Leicester City 0.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsEverton · Leicester City9.29 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Leicester City	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	9.29 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Everton

3Draws

1Leicester City

21 Sept 2024Leicester City — Everton · Premier League1–1

1 May 2023Leicester City — Everton · Premier League2–2

5 Nov 2022Everton — Leicester City · Premier League0–2

8 May 2022Leicester City — Everton · Premier League1–2

20 Apr 2022Everton — Leicester City · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 1 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/241.04 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/242.21 goals/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/240.98 xG/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/241.96 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/249.29 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2416.8 shots/match

3.48 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/243.13 shots/match

4.35 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/245.96 shots/match

40%Possessionseason · 23/24●45.9%

4.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/243.58 corners/match

6.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/246.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/244%

48%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/24▲71%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton7.5

Leicester City22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton19.2

Leicester City8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton58.3

Leicester City10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton62.5

Leicester City7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton60

Leicester City37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton17.5

Leicester City7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton30.6

Leicester City13.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton23 matchesLeicester City24 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored23/241.04 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/242.21 goals/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goals23/240.98 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots23/249.29 shots/match

3.48 shots/match▲Shots on target23/243.13 shots/match

40%Possession23/24●45.9%

4.09 corners/match●Corners23/243.58 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton12 matchesLeicester City12 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/122.67 goals/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.96 xG/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots12/129 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match

43.5%●Possession12/1242.7%

4.5 corners/match●Corners12/123.58 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Feb 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4