Premier League · 2024Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LDLLL

1–2Full-time recap

Leicester City

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Leicester City
Shots	15 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match	1.56 xG/match▲
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	6 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG. Leicester City: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.04 xG · Leicester City 1.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.09 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Leicester City9.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Leicester City	Baseline
Shots	14.5 shots/match	9.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	12.5 shots/match	17 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

58%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Leicester City45.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Leicester City	Baseline
Possession	58%	45.6%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Tottenham Hotspur

1Draws

1Leicester City

19 Aug 2024Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

11 Feb 2023Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–1

17 Sept 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Leicester City · Premier League6–2

1 May 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Leicester City · Premier League3–1

19 Jan 2022Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0 · 2 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.09 goals/match

1.61 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/232.13 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/231.01 xG/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.94 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/239.3 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2317 shots/match

5.52 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/233.22 shots/match

4.43 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/235.91 shots/match

58%●Possessionseason · 23/2345.6%

7.7 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/233.48 corners/match

5.57 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/236.39 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/234%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2374%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur87.5

Leicester City22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur80.8

Leicester City10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur49.2

Leicester City12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

Leicester City7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

Leicester City32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Leicester City7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

Leicester City13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur23 matchesLeicester City23 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match

1.61 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/232.13 goals/match

1.72 xG/match▲Expected goals23/231.01 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots23/239.3 shots/match

5.52 shots/match▲Shots on target23/233.22 shots/match

58%●Possession23/2345.6%

7.7 corners/match●Corners23/233.48 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur12 matchesLeicester City11 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.27 goals/match

1.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/112.55 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals12/111.01 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots12/119 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/113.27 shots/match

55.4%●Possession12/1141.7%

8.17 corners/match●Corners12/113.36 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1110.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4