PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Leicester City · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leicester City won 1–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.041.56
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leicester City beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Leicester City): shots 15–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.04–1.56, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Leicester City9.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurLeicester CityBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match9.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match17 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

58% ●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Leicester City45.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurLeicester CityBaseline
Possession58%45.6%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsTottenham Hotspur 15 shots, Leicester City 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTottenham Hotspur 6 shots, Leicester City 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.56 xGTottenham Hotspur 1.04 xG, Leicester City 1.56 xG
  • Possession61%39%Tottenham Hotspur 61%, Leicester City 39%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersTottenham Hotspur 6 corners, Leicester City 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls16 foulsTottenham Hotspur 6 fouls, Leicester City 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoubakary Soumaré · Leicester City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Tottenham Hotspur · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJames Justin · Leicester City · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Moore · Tottenham Hotspur · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJames Justin · Leicester City · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 50′ · 0.05 xG · goalPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Bergvall · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 39′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 33′ · 0.46 xG · goalJamie Vardy · Leicester City · 46′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG. Leicester City: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Richarlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 33′Jamie Vardy · Leicester City · 46′Bilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.04 xG · Leicester City 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tottenham Hotspur
1Draws
1Leicester City
Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1
Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Leicester City · Premier League6–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Leicester City · Premier League3–1
Leicester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur23 matchesLeicester City23 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.09 goals/match
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.13 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.01 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots23/239.3 shots/match
5.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.22 shots/match
58% ●Possession23/2345.6%
7.7 corners/match ●Corners23/233.48 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurLeicester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Leicester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required