PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 1–1 West Ham United · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa and West Ham United drew 1–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.851.31
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa and West Ham United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – West Ham United): shots 14–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.85–1.31, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aston Villa have a visible home split

moderate

Aston Villa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsAston Villa 14 shots, West Ham United 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAston Villa 4 shots, West Ham United 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.31 xGAston Villa 0.85 xG, West Ham United 1.31 xG
  • Possession46%54%Aston Villa 46%, West Ham United 54%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersAston Villa 4 corners, West Ham United 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsAston Villa 13 fouls, West Ham United 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emiliano Buendía · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndy Irving · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Irving · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · West Ham United · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Kamara · Aston Villa · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDanny Ings · West Ham United · 82′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 55′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.18 xG · goalEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 70′ · 0.20 xG · goalLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 53′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG. West Ham United: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 8′Emerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.86 xG · West Ham United 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Aston Villa
2Draws
1West Ham United
West Ham United — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2
West Ham United — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — West Ham United · Premier League4–1
West Ham United — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — West Ham United · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · West Ham United in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa23 matchesWest Ham United23 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.91 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.38 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target23/234.09 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession23/2347.2%
6.17 corners/match ●Corners23/234.48 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaWest Ham United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headAston Villa — West Ham United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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