Premier League · 2024

Crystal Palace 1–2 Brentford · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 1–2.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.081.26
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Crystal Palace 2–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Brentford): shots 16–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.08–1.26, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Brentford11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceBrentfordBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match18.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford have a visible away split

moderate

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.27 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsCrystal Palace 16 shots, Brentford 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsCrystal Palace 5 shots, Brentford 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.26 xGCrystal Palace 1.08 xG, Brentford 1.26 xG
  • Possession47%53%Crystal Palace 47%, Brentford 53%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersCrystal Palace 4 corners, Brentford 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsCrystal Palace 8 fouls, Brentford 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWill Hughes · Crystal Palace · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Richards · Crystal Palace · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWill Hughes · Crystal Palace · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMads Roerslev · Brentford · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Schade · Brentford · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · Brentford · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 31′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKevin Schade · Brentford · 80′ · 0.07 xG · goalEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 49′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRomain Esse · Crystal Palace · 85′ · 0.33 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG. Brentford: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romain Esse · Crystal Palace · 85′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 66′Kevin Schade · Brentford · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.10 xG · Brentford 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Crystal Palace
3Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–1
Crystal Palace — Brentford · Premier League3–1
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Brentford · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace23 matchesBrentford23 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.74 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.6 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots23/2311 shots/match
5.04 shots/matchShots on target23/235.04 shots/match
43.8%Possession23/23● 47.6%
4.87 corners/match ●Corners23/234.39 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls23/237.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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