Premier League · 2024Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

LWDLW

0–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	20 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.29 xG/match▲	0.75 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	10 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Tottenham Hotspur14.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	18.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford have a visible home split

moderate

Brentford's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford

2Draws

2Tottenham Hotspur

21 Sept 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League3–1

31 Jan 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League3–2

13 Aug 2023Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

20 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League1–3

26 Dec 2022Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 9 · 3 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲2 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.54 goals/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/241.68 xG/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 24/241.73 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲14.4 shots/match

18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲12.8 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲5.38 shots/match

6.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲4.42 shots/match

47.9%Possessionseason · 24/24●57.5%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/24●7.5 corners/match

6.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲5.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲21%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford42.5

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford55

Tottenham Hotspur80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford12.5

Tottenham Hotspur50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford22.5

Tottenham Hotspur42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford7.5

Tottenham Hotspur32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford37.5

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford35

Tottenham Hotspur71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford24 matchesTottenham Hotspur24 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲2 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.54 goals/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.68 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots24/24▲14.4 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲5.38 shots/match

47.9%Possession24/24●57.5%

4.63 corners/matchCorners24/24●7.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford13 matchesTottenham Hotspur12 matches

2.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/121.75 goals/match

1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲1.17 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals13/121.54 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots13/12▲14.1 shots/match

5.85 shots/match▲Shots on target13/125.25 shots/match

50.5%Possession13/12●59.5%

5.31 corners/matchCorners13/12●6.83 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7 fouls/matchFouls13/1211.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Feb 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4