Premier League · 2024Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fulham

WDDLW

0–1Full-time recap

Manchester United

LLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Manchester United
Shots	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.67 xG/match▲	0.25 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	3 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fulham: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Manchester United: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.66 xG · Manchester United 0.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Fulham

0Draws

4Manchester United

16 Aug 2024Manchester United — Fulham · Premier League1–0

24 Feb 2024Manchester United — Fulham · Premier League1–2

4 Nov 2023Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

28 May 2023Manchester United — Fulham · Premier League2–1

13 Nov 2022Fulham — Manchester United · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 1 · 9 too close

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.22 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.39 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.44 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.51 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2313.1 shots/match

10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2311 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/234.57 shots/match

4.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/234 shots/match

52.9%Possessionseason · 23/23●53.5%

5.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/234.74 corners/match

4.48 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/234.39 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲30%

87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2365%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham62.5

Manchester United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham52.5

Manchester United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham66.7

Manchester United65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham47.5

Manchester United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham27.5

Manchester United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham52.5

Manchester United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham46.9

Manchester United41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham23 matchesManchester United23 matches

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match

1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.39 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.44 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots23/2313.1 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target23/234.57 shots/match

52.9%Possession23/23●53.5%

5.09 corners/match●Corners23/234.74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham12 matchesManchester United11 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲1.09 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.23 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1111.6 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target12/114.27 shots/match

53.1%●Possession12/1152.8%

5.33 corners/match●Corners12/114.36 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.92 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4