PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 Everton · Premier League

0–1Historical match

Everton

DLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 0–1.

Shots
163
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
0.730.85
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Brighton & Hove Albion 1–0. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Everton): shots 16–3, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 0.73–0.85, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Everton11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionEvertonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.4% ●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Everton39.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionEvertonBaseline
Possession53.4%39.7%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots3 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 16 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotBrighton & Hove Albion 1 shot, Everton 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.85 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 0.73 xG, Everton 0.85 xG
  • Possession69%31%Brighton & Hove Albion 69%, Everton 31%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerBrighton & Hove Albion 9 corners, Everton 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 8 fouls, Everton 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Orel Mangala · Everton · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTariq Lamptey · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 16 shots, 1 on target, 0.74 xG. Everton: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 0.74 xG · Everton 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
1Everton
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League1–1
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League1–5
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion23 matchesEverton22 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/220.86 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/221.02 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots23/2211 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/223.32 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession23/2239.7%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners23/224.05 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2211.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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