PitchMath
Premier League · 2024Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

Everton

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionEverton
Shots16 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.73 xG/match0.85 xG/match▲
Possession69%●31%
Corners9 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Orel Mangala · Everton · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt O'Riley · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTariq Lamptey · Brighton & Hove Albion · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.10 xG · on targetYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 42′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 16 shots, 1 on target, 0.74 xG. Everton: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 0.74 xG · Everton 0.88 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Everton11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionEvertonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.4%●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Everton39.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionEvertonBaseline
Possession53.4%39.7%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
1Everton
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League1–1
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Everton · Premier League1–5
Everton — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 3 · 2 too close

1.52 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/220.86 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/22▲1.27 goals/match
1.38 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/221.02 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/22▲1.36 xG/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2211 shots/match
11.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2213.2 shots/match
4.61 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/223.32 shots/match
3.87 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/224.5 shots/match
53.4%●Possessionseason · 23/2239.7%
5.22 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/224.05 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/226.09 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2211.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/22▲36%
87%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2245%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
Everton2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion55.8
Everton16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion69.2
Everton55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5
Everton62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion82.5
Everton77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion57.5
Everton12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion63.8
Everton33.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion23 matchesEverton22 matches
1.52 goals/match▲Goals scored23/220.86 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲1.27 goals/match
1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals23/221.02 xG/match
14.2 shots/match▲Shots23/2211 shots/match
4.61 shots/match▲Shots on target23/223.32 shots/match
53.4%●Possession23/2239.7%
5.22 corners/match●Corners23/224.05 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2211.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion11 matchesEverton11 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.64 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.93 xG/match
16.3 shots/match▲Shots11/119.82 shots/match
4.55 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.82 shots/match
55.3%●Possession11/1136.2%
6 corners/match●Corners11/113.64 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1112 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath