Premier League · 2024Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWDDW

4–1Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

LWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Ipswich Town
Shots	16 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.98 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	70%●	30%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.23 xG. Ipswich Town: 3 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.23 xG · Ipswich Town 0.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Ipswich Town9.04 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Shots	17.6 shots/match	9.04 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	9.32 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.04 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.4 shots/match	9.04 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town have a visible away split

moderate

Ipswich Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.09 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.04 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.09 shots/match	9.04 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Liverpool

0Draws

0Ipswich Town

17 Aug 2024Ipswich Town — Liverpool · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 2 too close

2.45 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/230.91 goals/match

0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/232.04 goals/match

2.33 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/230.91 xG/match

0.88 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/232.07 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/239.04 shots/match

9.32 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2315.3 shots/match

6.82 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/233.26 shots/match

3.32 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/235.74 shots/match

58.3%●Possessionseason · 22/2339.9%

6.82 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/234.17 corners/match

4.05 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/236.52 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2311.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/239%

95%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2361%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool92.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool97.5

Ipswich Town9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool95.8

Ipswich Town19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool82.5

Ipswich Town12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool57.5

Ipswich Town67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Ipswich Town17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool85

Ipswich Town25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool22 matchesIpswich Town23 matches

2.45 goals/match▲Goals scored22/230.91 goals/match

0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/232.04 goals/match

2.33 xG/match▲Expected goals22/230.91 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots22/239.04 shots/match

6.82 shots/match▲Shots on target22/233.26 shots/match

58.3%●Possession22/2339.9%

6.82 corners/match●Corners22/234.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2311.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool11 matchesIpswich Town11 matches

2.18 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.09 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.9 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots11/117.09 shots/match

6.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.91 shots/match

58.3%●Possession11/1137.1%

6 corners/match●Corners11/113.82 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.94 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4