PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Liverpool 4–1 Ipswich Town · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 4–1.

Shots
163
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.980.48
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Ipswich Town 4–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Ipswich Town): shots 16–3, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.98–0.48, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Ipswich Town9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolIpswich TownBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match9.04 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against9.32 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ipswich Town's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.4 shots/match9.04 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ipswich Town have a visible away split

moderate

Ipswich Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.09 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.04 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.09 shots/match9.04 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots3 shotsLiverpool 16 shots, Ipswich Town 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLiverpool 6 shots, Ipswich Town 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG0.48 xGLiverpool 1.98 xG, Ipswich Town 0.48 xG
  • Possession70%30%Liverpool 70%, Ipswich Town 30%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersLiverpool 3 corners, Ipswich Town 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsLiverpool 10 fouls, Ipswich Town 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmari Hutchinson · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 11′ · 0.12 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 35′ · 0.16 xG · goalGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 85′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJacob Greaves · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 44′ · 0.49 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 66′ · 0.49 xG · goalCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 44′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.23 xG. Ipswich Town: 3 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 11′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 35′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 44′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 66′Jacob Greaves · Ipswich Town · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.23 xG · Ipswich Town 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Liverpool
0Draws
0Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town — Liverpool · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool22 matchesIpswich Town23 matches
2.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/230.91 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/232.04 goals/match
2.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/230.91 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/239.04 shots/match
6.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/233.26 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession22/2339.9%
6.82 corners/match ●Corners22/234.17 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLiverpoolIpswich Town
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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