Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 5–2 Crystal Palace · Premier League

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 5–2.

Shots
218
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.811.82
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Crystal Palace 5–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Crystal Palace): shots 21–8, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.81–1.82, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionManchester City · Crystal Palace43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityCrystal PalaceBaseline
Possession61.3%43.7%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsManchester City 21 shots, Crystal Palace 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsManchester City 9 shots, Crystal Palace 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.81 xG1.82 xGManchester City 3.81 xG, Crystal Palace 1.82 xG
  • Possession68%32%Manchester City 68%, Crystal Palace 32%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersManchester City 1 corner, Crystal Palace 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsManchester City 10 fouls, Crystal Palace 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Clyne · Crystal Palace · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus França · Crystal Palace · 85′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.07 xG · goalNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 79′ · 0.08 xG · goalJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goalMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 47′ · 0.10 xG · goalJames McAtee · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 13′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 36′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Manchester City · 51′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 24′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Manchester City · 34′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 26′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.43 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 13′ · 0.46 xG · on targetChris Richards · Crystal Palace · 21′ · 0.54 xG · goalEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 8′ · 0.62 xG · goalJames McAtee · Manchester City · 56′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 21 shots, 9 on target, 3.92 xG. Crystal Palace: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 33′Omar Marmoush · Manchester City · 36′Mateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 47′James McAtee · Manchester City · 56′Nico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 79′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 8′Chris Richards · Crystal Palace · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 3.92 xG · Crystal Palace 1.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
2Draws
0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Manchester City · Premier League2–2
Crystal Palace — Manchester City · Premier League2–4
Manchester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–2
Crystal Palace — Manchester City · Premier League0–1
Manchester City — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City32 matchesCrystal Palace31 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/311.32 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed32/311.29 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.52 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots32/3113.5 shots/match
5.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/314.81 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession32/3143.7%
6.56 corners/match ●Corners32/314.55 corners/match
7.66 fouls/matchFouls32/3110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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