Premier League · 2024Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Leicester City

LLLLD

0–1Full-time recap

Liverpool

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Liverpool
Shots	5 shots/match	28 shots/match▲
Shots on target	0 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.27 xG/match	2.57 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	1 corners/match	13 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.27 xG. Liverpool: 28 shots, 10 on target, 2.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.27 xG · Liverpool 2.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.82 goals/match	1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.79 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Liverpool17 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	8.79 shots/match	17 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	16.9 shots/match	9.45 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.4%PossessionLeicester City · Liverpool●57.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Liverpool	Baseline
Possession	45.4%	57.9%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Leicester City

0Draws

4Liverpool

26 Dec 2024Liverpool — Leicester City · Premier League3–1

15 May 2023Leicester City — Liverpool · Premier League0–3

30 Dec 2022Liverpool — Leicester City · Premier League2–1

10 Feb 2022Liverpool — Leicester City · Premier League2–0

28 Dec 2021Leicester City — Liverpool · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

0.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲2.27 goals/match

2.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/33▲0.94 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲2.19 xG/match

1.99 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲0.87 xG/match

8.79 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲17 shots/match

16.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/33▲9.45 shots/match

2.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲6.24 shots/match

5.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/33▲3.21 shots/match

45.4%Possessionseason · 33/33●57.9%

3.76 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●6.7 corners/match

6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲3.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3311.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

3%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲42%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲97%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City22.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City4.2

Liverpool97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City9.2

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City7.5

Liverpool82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City17.5

Liverpool52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City7.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City7.5

Liverpool83.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City33 matchesLiverpool33 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲2.27 goals/match

2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲0.94 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲2.19 xG/match

8.79 shots/matchShots33/33▲17 shots/match

2.91 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲6.24 shots/match

45.4%Possession33/33●57.9%

3.76 corners/matchCorners33/33●6.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City17 matchesLiverpool17 matches

0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲2.41 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1.12 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲2.24 xG/match

8.94 shots/matchShots17/17▲17.7 shots/match

2.82 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲6.47 shots/match

48.9%Possession17/17●56.4%

4.12 corners/matchCorners17/17●7.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4