Premier League · 2024Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWLWW

5–1Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	25 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.28 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	62%●	38%
Corners	8 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.74 corners/matchCornersLiverpool · Tottenham Hotspur●6.85 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Corners	6.74 corners/match	6.85 corners/match	5.13 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

weak

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.82 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Tottenham Hotspur14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Shots	17.3 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	9.41 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Liverpool

0Draws

1Tottenham Hotspur

22 Dec 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League3–6

5 May 2024Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2

30 Sept 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League2–1

30 Apr 2023Liverpool — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–3

6 Nov 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 0 · 2 too close

2.35 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.82 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 34/341.65 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 34/341.63 xG/match

0.85 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 34/341.67 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 34/3414 shots/match

9.41 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3413.1 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 34/345.26 shots/match

3.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 34/344.68 shots/match

58%●Possessionseason · 34/3456.6%

6.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/34●6.85 corners/match

3.85 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 34/345.21 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3411.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3418%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool97.5

Tottenham Hotspur75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool92.5

Tottenham Hotspur34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool82.5

Tottenham Hotspur27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool62.5

Tottenham Hotspur80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool86.2

Tottenham Hotspur81.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool34 matchesTottenham Hotspur34 matches

2.35 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.82 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed34/341.65 goals/match

2.2 xG/match▲Expected goals34/341.63 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots34/3414 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target34/345.26 shots/match

58%●Possession34/3456.6%

6.74 corners/matchCorners34/34●6.85 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool17 matchesTottenham Hotspur17 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.65 goals/match

0.76 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.59 goals/match

2.15 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.43 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1712.8 shots/match

6.12 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.82 shots/match

59.6%●Possession17/1756.9%

6.41 corners/match●Corners17/176.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls17/1712 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.85 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4