PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool · Premier League

Chelsea

WDDWW
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 3–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
3.131.05
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Liverpool 3–1. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Liverpool): shots 17–11, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.13–1.05, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.14 corners/matchCornersChelsea · Liverpool● 6.71 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricChelseaLiverpoolBaseline
Corners6.14 corners/match6.71 corners/match5.04 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

weak

Chelsea's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match16.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsChelsea 17 shots, Liverpool 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsChelsea 7 shots, Liverpool 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.13 xG1.05 xGChelsea 3.13 xG, Liverpool 1.05 xG
  • Possession35%65%Chelsea 35%, Liverpool 65%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersChelsea 3 corners, Liverpool 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsChelsea 10 fouls, Liverpool 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Chelsea
3Draws
2Liverpool
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League4–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League0–0
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea35 matchesLiverpool35 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 2.31 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1 goal/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 2.16 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 17.1 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target35/356.17 shots/match
57.8%Possession35/35● 58.2%
6.14 corners/matchCorners35/35● 6.71 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3511.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headChelsea — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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